Jane Street guilty of Indian market manipulation or settles for $100M+?
One-OffRégulationActions8moisManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 69.9%
Prévisionnistes
31
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 8 heures
Obsolète5 juil. 25, 11:39 UTC6 juil. 27, 11:33 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Did Jane Street do anything wrong in India?
Manifold MarketsWhen will AI be able to solve 50% of official Jane Street puzzles?
Manifold MarketsWill Market Manipulation Result in Any Verified Harm Before 2027?
Manifold MarketsAnyone indicted for insider trading or market manipulation for 4/7/25 events?
Manifold MarketsDiscord IPO Closing Market Cap
PolymarketOpenAI’s valuation end of November 2026?
PolymarketRègles
The Indian securities regulator, SEBI, has temporarily banned Jane Street from accessing the local markets due to alleged market manipulation.
- This market will resolve as true if Jane Street is found to have been involved in market manipulation by the Indian authorities.
- It will also resolve as true if Jane Street arrives at a settlement paying more than $100M without acknowledging any wrongdoing.
- Some press coverage:
- https://www.ft.com/content/41c4789a-afa6-462c-a6ea-9704c2ba78a7
- https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-07-04/india-bars-jane-street-from-accessing-its-securities-market
