Manifold MarketsFerméSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréCe marché s'est résolu: Yes (95.6%)
Résolu: 20 août 2026, 14:49
Résolution vérifiée par le fournisseur
CoinRithm dispose d'éléments du fournisseur pour le gagnant et l'heure de règlement de ce marché.
Prévision communautaire actuelleOui 95.6%
Prévisionnistes
39
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 3 heures
Obsolète7 avr. 26, 23:5331 mai 26, 23:59
Chronologie des Probabilités
Yes95.6%
No4.400000000000006%
95.6%
4.4%
Règles
This is a tricky topic to define & subjective judgment is required—I will not try to fully define legally precise criteria.
- Trade with caution (I won't trade on this market).
- Context from Reuters.
- Part of Iran's peace proposal is a "Strait of Hormuz fee" that ships need to pay them to pass through the strait.
- This market resolves YES if any ships that passed through the strait on June 1 might need to pay this fee.
- A few details:
Marchés ouverts
Middle East
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-1.8pt66%
- October 31-8.5pt41%
- September 30-3.0pt26%
+17 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 15,4 M €
- Volume 24h
- 351 k €
POLYMARKETUS-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by which date?
- December 31-3.0pt8%
- November 30-2.0pt6%
- October 31-1.0pt4%
+6 résultats de plus
KALSHIWhen will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?
- Before Jul 1, 2027+2.0pt47%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-2.0pt40%
- Before Jan 1, 2027-4.0pt24%
+9 résultats de plus
KALSHIUS-Iran nuclear deal?
- Before Jan 20, 2029-5.0pt36.1%
- Before Jan 1, 2028-1.0pt22.7%
- Before Mar 1, 2027+1.0pt11.3%
+8 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETUS-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- August 22+1.1pt98%
- August 2595%
- August 31-1.0pt86%
+3 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by which date?
- August 310%
- August 150%
- Volume total
- 19,4 M €
- Volume 24h
- 101,7 k €
- Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- Al-Riyadh vs Al Nassr
- Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia by which date?
- Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?
- Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by which date?
- Will Iran target a Arab country on?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Iran charges "Strait of Hormuz fees" on June 1? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Yes à 96% au 21 août 2026.
- Quand Iran charges "Strait of Hormuz fees" on June 1? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Iran charges "Strait of Hormuz fees" on June 1? doit être résolu le 31 mai 2026.
- Comment Iran charges "Strait of Hormuz fees" on June 1? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : This is a tricky topic to define & subjective judgment is required—I will not try to fully define legally precise criteria.