Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 72.2%
Prévisionnistes
63
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 54 minutes
En retard8 nov. 24, 16:56 UTC16 janv. 29, 07:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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KalshiRègles
Will there be internment camps in the USA while Donald Trump is president?
- Market will Resolve YES if there is capacity for the detention of 30,000 people in 3 or fewer actively used concentration camps / detention centers (so a 25k person facility + a 5k person one would qualify, as would 3x 10k people facilities).
- Resolves NO when Trump is no longer president (following his 2025 inauguration), or N/A if he doesn’t have a second term.
- For reference:
- During the US’s WWII Japanese internment, 120,000 people were interned in 10 camps.
- The current three largest active detention centers in the US have a capacity of ~6,600, so this would be a nearly 5x growth in capacity for the mass detention of people.