Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle2030 or later 50.4%En tête parmi 9 options
Prévisionnistes
11
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 11 heures
Obsolète1 sept. 23, 18:14 UTC2 janv. 30, 07:59 UTC
Tendances
Règles
This question resolves if any YouTube video displaces Baby Shark Dance as the most-viewed YouTube video of all time, or if we reach the year 2030 with Baby Shark Dance still undefeated.
- At the time this question was written, Baby Shark Dance has 13 billion views.
- https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_most-viewed_YouTube_videos
Marchés ouverts
Entertainment
POLYMARKET"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
- 950 - 960m+42.0pt76%
- 940 - 950m-42.0pt19.2%
- 960 - 970m+0.2pt1.9%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 296,8 k €
- Volume 24h
- 88,6 k €
KALSHINext James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond
- Jack Lowden+32.0pt61%
- Jack Barton-2.0pt19%
- Callum Turner-11.0pt16%
+27 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 1,8 M €
POLYMARKETNext James Bond actor?
- Jack Lowden+13.1pt32%
- No Bond chosen-7.6pt16%
- Jack Barton+0.9pt14%
+21 résultats de plus
KALSHIBig Brother Season 28 · Winner
- Yash Patel+4.0pt28.4%
- Barrett Pfeiffer+2.0pt18.4%
- Drew Campbell-1.0pt12.8%
+14 résultats de plus
- Volume total
POLYMARKET# of views of next MrBeast video on week 1?
- 70-80M+8.7pt63.6%
- 80-90M-2.0pt34.3%
- 60-70M-4.0pt1%
+4 résultats de plus
KALSHIOscar Winner: Best Picture
- The Odyssey52%
- Dune: Part Three13%
- The Black Ball11%
+35 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 4,2 M €
- Volume 24h
- 28,1 k €
- Primetime · Rotten Tomatoes score
- # of views of MrBeast video on day 3?
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- Emmy Winner: Outstanding Lead Actor in a Drama Series
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- Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?
- Emmy Winner: Outstanding Comedy Series
- Morgan Wallen: Highest daily view count (August 31, 2026 - September 6, 2026)
- Which streaming service will win the most Emmys?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour In what year will Baby Shark Dance be surpassed in YouTube views? ?
- Manifold Markets cote 2030 or later à 50% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand In what year will Baby Shark Dance be surpassed in YouTube views? sera-t-il résolu ?
- In what year will Baby Shark Dance be surpassed in YouTube views? doit être résolu le 2 janvier 2030.
- Comment In what year will Baby Shark Dance be surpassed in YouTube views? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : This question resolves if any YouTube video displaces Baby Shark Dance as the most-viewed YouTube video of all time, or if we reach the year 2030 with Baby Shark Dance still undefeated.