Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle
Never 20%En tête parmi 8 options
Prévisionnistes
20
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 8 heures
Obsolète3 janv. 24, 03:00 UTC1 janv. 30, 02:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Thorin appear as an analyst at an S-Tier CS tournament in 2026?
LimitlessWill jL appear as an analyst at an S-Tier CS tournament in 2026?
LimitlessWill jL appear as an analyst at an S-Tier CS tournament in 2026?
PolymarketWhat will Trump say during The Ingraham Angle?
KalshiBest AI at the end of 2026?
KalshiAnthropic IPO by which date?
PolymarketRègles
As an informal classification, "triple A" games are considered high-budget (more than $50m), high-profile (more than 1 million copies sold) video games in any platform.
- This question resolves in the release year of a triple A game that publicly announces the use of a LLM as an in-game feature.
Marchés ouverts
AIKALSHIWhat will Trump say during The Ingraham Angle?
- Tariff99%
- AI / Artificial Intelligence99%
- Fake News99%
+24 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 94,2 k €
- Volume 24h
- 94,2 k €
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude+2.2pt67.7%
- ChatGPT-4.8pt15.7%
- Gemini-0.4pt6.9%
+5 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 9,3 M €
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,+1.5pt91%
- December 15,+4.5pt90%
- November 30,+5.5pt89%
+7 résultats de plus
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+8.0pt89.4%
- Muse+1.0pt2.9%
- ChatGPT-8.0pt1.9%
+4 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 416,3 k €
POLYMARKETOpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
- 1480+-64.6pt3%
- 1490+-39.9pt1%
- 1500+-25.4pt1%
+2 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETAI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
- 2027-3.0pt85%
- 2026+1.5pt73%
- September 30, 2026-4.5pt39%
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
- Which Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- Anthropic market share this week
- How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?
- DeepSeek market share this week
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour In what year a LLM will appear as an in-game feature of a "triple A" game? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Never à 20% au 12 septembre 2026.
- Quand In what year a LLM will appear as an in-game feature of a "triple A" game? sera-t-il résolu ?
- In what year a LLM will appear as an in-game feature of a "triple A" game? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2030.
- Comment In what year a LLM will appear as an in-game feature of a "triple A" game? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : As an informal classification, "triple A" games are considered high-budget (more than $50m), high-profile (more than 1 million copies sold) video games in any platform.