Prévision communautaire actuelle
Oui 77.7%
Prévisionnistes
8
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 12 heures
Obsolète14 janv. 23, 14:12 UTC1 janv. 28, 12:00 UTC
Tendances
Règles
In the Northern Ireland Assembly, parties and indepedent candidates are designated as nationalist, unionist, or other.
- In every election to the Northern Ireland Assembly so far, unionists have won more seats than nationalists, with the most recent election in 2022, unionists won 37 seats and nationalists 35 (and other 18).
- This market resolves to YES if in the next election to the Assembly, the number of seats won by nationalists is greater than or equal to the number of seats won by unionists (it doesn't matter how many seats other wins), and resolves to NO if this is not the case.
