Prévision communautaire actuelle
Oui 69.3%
Prévisionnistes
5
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 3 heures
Obsolète1 juil. 26, 08:21 UTC1 juil. 27, 22:59 UTC
Tendances
Actifs Sensibles au Macro
Règles
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to YES if California's annual Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in current dollars (nominal GDP) for the year 2026 is at least $4.400 trillion ($4,400,000,000,000), according to the official preliminary annual data released by the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA).
- The market will resolve to NO if the official annual figure is less than $4.400 trillion.
- Source of Truth: The initial release of the BEA’s news release for "Gross Domestic Product by State and Personal Income by State, 4th Quarter and Year 2026" (typically published in March or April 2027).
- The data can be verified directly on the BEA GDP by State page.
- Revisions: Resolution will be based on the first published estimate for the full-year 2026 nominal GDP.
