Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 97.5%
Prévisionnistes
33
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 18 heures
Obsolète9 sept. 23, 19:52 UTC2 févr. 29, 07:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will the Taliban still be in power in Afghanistan five years from now? (March 2024-2029)
Manifold MarketsWill Putin still be in power on January 1, 2029
Manifold MarketsWill Trump still be president on January 1, 2029?
Manifold MarketsWill Putin still be in power by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWho will control the House?
KalshiTexas Senate winner?
KalshiRègles
"In power" is any position that gives him plausibly the most power of any individual over the US.
- President, or perhaps a new position that gets created.
