Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréAlerte qualité des donnéesDonnées source dégradées
Données au 25 oct. 2026, 20:50 UTC · politique pm-quality-4
Prévision communautaire actuelleOui 80.8%
Prévisionnistes
46
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 5 heures
Obsolète2 janv. 25, 10:20 UTC1 janv. 29, 22:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
If Donald Trump wins the 2024 US presidential election, will he still be the president on January 21st, 2029?
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FutuurRègles
According to the U.S. Constitution, presidential terms begin on January 20th following an election and last exactly 4 years.
- If Donald is inaugurated as the 47th president on January 20, 2025, his term would end on January 20, 2029.
- Resolution Criteria
- This market will resolve YES if Donald Trump is serving as President of the United States on January 1, 2029.
- This market will resolve NO if Trump is inaugurated but no longer in office on January 1, 2029
