Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle
Oui 80.8%
Prévisionnistes
46
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 2 heures
Obsolète2 janv. 25, 10:20 UTC1 janv. 29, 22:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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FutuurRègles
According to the U.S. Constitution, presidential terms begin on January 20th following an election and last exactly 4 years.
- If Donald is inaugurated as the 47th president on January 20, 2025, his term would end on January 20, 2029.
- Resolution Criteria
- This market will resolve YES if Donald Trump is serving as President of the United States on January 1, 2029.
- This market will resolve NO if Trump is inaugurated but no longer in office on January 1, 2029
Marchés ouverts
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Trump still be president on January 1, 2029? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Yes à 81% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Trump still be president on January 1, 2029? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Trump still be president on January 1, 2029? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2029.
- Comment Will Trump still be president on January 1, 2029? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : According to the U.S. Constitution, presidential terms begin on January 20th following an election and last exactly 4 years.