If Taylor Swift is expecting a child before 2027, will she use a surrogate?
One-OffDivertissement3mois
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle
Non 83.9%
Prévisionnistes
17
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 10 heures
Obsolète2 déc. 24, 19:11 UTC1 janv. 27, 05:59 UTC
Tendances
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KalshiRègles
This market resolves to YES if Taylor Swift publicly confirms or credible sources report that she used a surrogate for any pregnancy resulting in a child born before January 1, 2027.
- If she becomes pregnant and gives birth herself, the market resolves to NO.
- If Taylor Swift does not get pregnant/a surrogate does not become pregnant with a child Taylor plans to raise before January 1, 2027, the market resolves to N/A. • “Credible sources” include major news outlets or statements from Swift or her representatives.
- • Speculative rumors without credible backing will not suffice for a YES resolution.
- • Wording note: one commenter has said “if she uses a surrogate she isn’t pregnant” and while this is technically accurate, it has become common parlance for celebrities to describe surrogacy as a pregnancy, or announce a pregnancy and later reveal that a surrogate was involved.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour If Taylor Swift is expecting a child before 2027, will she use a surrogate? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 84% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand If Taylor Swift is expecting a child before 2027, will she use a surrogate? sera-t-il résolu ?
- If Taylor Swift is expecting a child before 2027, will she use a surrogate? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2027.
- Comment If Taylor Swift is expecting a child before 2027, will she use a surrogate? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : This market resolves to YES if Taylor Swift publicly confirms or credible sources report that she used a surrogate for any pregnancy resulting in a child born before January 1, 2027.