Prévision communautaire actuelle
Non 90.7%
Prévisionnistes
6
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 29 minutes
19 oct. 26, 18:04 UTC31 déc. 30, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
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Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Marine Le Pen wins the French election in 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French Presidential Election
Manifold MarketsWill Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French Presidential Election?
Manifold MarketsWill I ride an e-scooter or a bike without a helmet within the next three years?
Manifold MarketsMarine Le Pen out as Member of the National Assembly by which date?
PolymarketAR-02 House election: French Hill vote percent
KalshiRègles
Provoked by this article https://www.thelocal.fr/20261016/one-in-five-french-people-would-consider-leaving-if-le-pen-wins-election.
- It claims that over 40% of French would consider leaving if she won.
- If there seems to be a decline of more than five percent in the French Muslim population of more than 5 percent resolves yes.
- If Marine Le Pen does not win will resolve NA.
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