If Manifold gets negative news coverage, will a large number of new users join?
One-OffTechBusiness & Corporate4mois
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle
Oui 82.4%
Prévisionnistes
34
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 2 heures
Obsolète20 janv. 23, 06:40 UTC20 janv. 27, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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Manifold MarketsRègles
"Gets negative news coverage" means at least one major news outlet writes an article whose coverage of Manifold is primarily negative.
- Manifold does not have to be the main topic of the article, but it should be a large part of the article.
- (For example: "prediction markets are terrible, here are three examples" counts; "Ammon Lam, also known for participating on the controversial Manifold Markets website, today rescued three puppies from a burning building" does not.)
- "A large number of new users" means I look at the "daily active users 7 day average" data here
- https://manifold.markets/stats
- and I see an obvious large increase right after the news broke.
Marchés ouverts
TechKALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $76,750 or above99%
- $76,500 or above99%
- $76,250 or above99%
+77 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 1,3 M €
- Volume 24h
- 1,3 M €
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 2pm EDT?
- $78,400 or above99%
- $78,300 or above99%
- $78,200 or above99%
+97 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 1,1 M €
- Volume 24h
- 802,6 k €
KALSHIBTC 15 min · $78,547.84 target
- Yes60%
- No40%
- Volume total
- 736,5 k €
- Volume 24h
- 585,6 k €
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $72,500 or above+2.0pt99%
- $72,000 or above+3.0pt99%
- $69,500 or above+1.0pt98%
+47 résultats de plus
- Volume total
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?
- 180-199+10.0pt31.4%
- 200-219+8.0pt22.9%
- 160-179-4.0pt19.1%
+23 résultats de plus
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 8, 2026?
- 88° to 89°+9.0pt37%
- 90° or above+11.0pt28%
- 86° to 87°-12.0pt25%
+3 résultats de plus
- Volume total
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour If Manifold gets negative news coverage, will a large number of new users join? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Yes à 82% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand If Manifold gets negative news coverage, will a large number of new users join? sera-t-il résolu ?
- If Manifold gets negative news coverage, will a large number of new users join? doit être résolu le 20 janvier 2027.
- Comment If Manifold gets negative news coverage, will a large number of new users join? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : "Gets negative news coverage" means at least one major news outlet writes an article whose coverage of Manifold is primarily negative.