If Harris loses, will Tim Walz be the 2028 presidential nominee?
PolitiqueOne-OffPolitique américaineÉlection1aManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 97.1%
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Mis à jour il y a 1 heure
En retard30 juil. 24, 02:51 UTC6 juil. 28, 06:59 UTC
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Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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Manifold MarketsRègles
Resolves N/A if Harris wins the 2024 election (or if she’s not the nominee for some reason).
- [tweet]General policy for my markets: In the rare event of a conflict between my resolution criteria and the agreed-upon common-sense spirit of the market, I may resolve it according to the market's spirit or N/A, probably after discussion.