Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNever 91.9%En tête parmi 5 options
Prévisionnistes
67
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 7 heures
Obsolète19 août 23, 00:15 UTC1 févr. 29, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
0.1%
0.1%
0%
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
In which years will Trump Serve Time? [Unlinked Multiple Choice]
Manifold MarketsTrump to serve his full term?
FutuurWill Donald Trump ever serve time in prison?
Manifold MarketsWhen will Trump serve time?
Manifold MarketsTrump To Serve Second Term In Full
SmarketsDonald Trump to serve as president for 9+ years by end of 2030
SmarketsRègles
Resolves based on day that his custodial sentence starts, or "never" if he dies without serving a custodial sentence.
- What counts?
- Prison, jail or the named outcome pre-conviction does not, must be serving a sentence.
- Prison, jail or the named outcome post-conviction counts.
- Community service, probation, and other non-custodial sentences do not count.
- It does not count if he is pardoned or otherwise granted clemency before his sentence begins.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour How will Trump serve time? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Never à 92% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand How will Trump serve time? sera-t-il résolu ?
- How will Trump serve time? doit être résolu le 1 février 2029.
- Comment How will Trump serve time? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolves based on day that his custodial sentence starts, or "never" if he dies without serving a custodial sentence.