How many New York Democratic House Candidates will underperform Harris’s 2024 Vote Percent?
PolitiqueOne-OffPolitique américaineÉlectionTech23jManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle1 31%En tête parmi 7 options
Prévisionnistes
2
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
+16.7 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 6 heures
Obsolète5 oct. 26, 06:41 UTC4 nov. 26, 06:29 UTC
Tendances
Règles
A Democratic candidate will be considered to have ‘underperformed Harris’ if the vote percent they get in the 2026 US House elections is strictly less than the vote percent Kamala Harris recieved in their district in 2024.
- A Democratic Candidates vote percent includes all parties they are listed on the ballot under, such as Common Sense or Working for Families.
- If this was the 2026 NY-3 Result:
- Tom Suozzi (Democratic) 46.0%
- Tom Suozzi (Common Sense) 10.0%
- Mike LiPetri (Republican) 44%
