Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuellethrough June 2024 100%En tête parmi 14 options
Prévisionnistes
14
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 6 heures
Obsolète6 déc. 23, 08:09 UTC1 janv. 31, 07:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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KalshiSan Francisco vs Seattle: Touchdowns
KalshiRègles
Each market resolves YES when I have contiguously lived in San Francisco until the end of that month.
- I count it as living in SF if I tell people while abroad that "I live in SF", even if I haven't been in SF for e.g. a month.
- When I trade in this market I will try to trade based on what I believe in the moment of trading (i.e. to trade in the direction of my belief).
- I currently have a lease until..
- June 2024, I think?
