How high will Trump rank by time in office?
19.6 pts (24h)PolitiqueOne-OffPolitique américaineÉlectionIA2aManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle2nd, tied 41.9%-19.6ptEn tête parmi 10 options
Prévisionnistes
22
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
-19.6 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 3 heures
Obsolète28 oct. 25, 00:50 UTC21 janv. 29, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
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Manifold MarketsRègles
This question is referring to Wikipedia's list of presidents of the United States by time in office and what Donald Trump's highest position on that list will be before his death.
- Donald Trump spent 1,461 days in office during his first term.
- He regained the presidency at 12 noon, 20 January 2025.
- This market should only use Eastern Standard Time (UTC−05:00), regardless of daylight savings time.
- For purposes of this market, round to the nearest integer day when counting time spent in office.
- For instance, if a president takes office at 12 noon on 20 January of one year (with no leap day) and then leaves office at 1 am on 20 January of the next year, they will have held the office for 364 days and 13 hours (364.54 days).