Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 79.3%
Prévisionnistes
14
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 10 heures
Obsolète14 févr. 25, 09:04 UTC1 juil. 35, 03:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Things named after Trump or named by Trump after America are renamed during the first year of Trump out of office?
Manifold MarketsWill google maps say Lake Ontario and not lake America at the end of February 2029?
Manifold Markets#1 searched person on Google in 2026
KalshiTop 5 most searched people on Google in 2026
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PolymarketWilll New Mexico be renamed to New America by EOY?
Manifold MarketsRègles
resolves yes if the name is not gulf of America for a solid week, for English users in the USA, on Google maps.
- As of claim creation the name the has changed to say gulf of America".
- It doesn't have to be exactly 100% of users but it has to be nearly all with no excluded regions, etc. although maybe some ab testers can have the old version.
- Basically we'll wait til the recent change to "Gulf of America" is no longer the state of things, clearly
Marchés ouverts
TechKALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 8pm EDT?
- $78,400 or above99%
- $78,300 or above99%
- $78,200 or above99%
+97 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 944,1 k €
- Volume 24h
- 721,8 k €
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 8, 2026?
- 90° or above+68.0pt95.2%
- 88° to 89°-22.0pt1%
- 84° to 85°-8.0pt1%
+3 résultats de plus
- Volume total
KALSHIBTC 15 min · $78,442.97 target
- No73%
- Yes27%
- Volume total
- 620 k €
- Volume 24h
- 536 k €
KALSHIGuyana Amazon Warriors vs Antigua And Barbuda Falcons
- Guyana Amazon Warriors+4.0pt66.3%
- Antigua And Barbuda Falcons-3.0pt33.7%
- Volume total
- 514,9 k €
- Volume 24h
- 496,9 k €
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 8, 2026?
- New Orleans+48.0pt99%
- Houston+70.0pt99%
- Minneapolis+17.0pt99%
+19 résultats de plus
- Volume total
KALSHIHighest temperature in New York City on Sep 8, 2026?
- 80° to 81°+53.0pt95.2%
- 79° or below-3.0pt1%
- 82° to 83°-44.0pt1%
+3 résultats de plus
- Volume total
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- Elon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Gulf of America is renamed again by mid 2035 (in Google maps) ?
- Manifold Markets cote Yes à 79% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Gulf of America is renamed again by mid 2035 (in Google maps) sera-t-il résolu ?
- Gulf of America is renamed again by mid 2035 (in Google maps) doit être résolu le 1 juillet 2035.
- Comment Gulf of America is renamed again by mid 2035 (in Google maps) est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : resolves yes if the name is not gulf of America for a solid week, for English users in the USA, on Google maps.