Greatest AI Researcher of All Time
IA
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOther 23.7%En tête parmi 31 options
Prévisionnistes
48
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 15 heures
Obsolète18 juil. 25, 05:37 UTC1 janv. 00, 06:37 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Largest reported pay-package offered to an AI researcher before 2027?
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Manifold MarketsWill any prominent AI researcher be assassinated before EOY 2030
Manifold MarketsWill Lucas Beyer (AI Researcher) work at either Anthropic or xAI before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWhich company has the best AI model end of October?
PolymarketAnthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
PolymarketRègles
inspired by the great
- (https://manifold.markets/embed/sixtynine/greatest-mathematician-of-all-time)Resolves on the date after the first ASI is presented and accepted.
- Until then, a healthy discussion is appreciated.
- Update 2025-07-19 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has clarified their personal distinction between AI research and computer science, indicating that work considered primarily computer science may be viewed as 'distant from AI research' for the purposes of this market's resolution.
