Prévision communautaire actuelle
Will greenhouse-gas emissions decrease? [Lower annual territorial emissions, excluding land use and forestry, Umweltbundesamt] 69%+19.0ptEn tête parmi 6 options
Prévisionnistes
3
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
+19.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 9 heures
Obsolète20 sept. 26, 07:34 UTC31 déc. 30, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
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Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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PolymarketRègles
This market forecasts changes in Germany following the AfD’s entry into federal government.
- Each answer resolves independently.
- “Enters government” means an AfD Bundeskanzler and AFD-lead coalition.
- Let Y be the calendar year in which this first happens after this market’s preparation.
- We compare annual figures for Y−1, the last calendar year before entry, with Y+3, the third full calendar year after entry.
- Each answer resolves YES if its stated change occurs, and NO otherwise.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Germany after the AfD enters federal government: objective measures ?
- Manifold Markets cote Will greenhouse-gas emissions decrease? [Lower annual territorial emissions, excluding land use and forestry, Umweltbundesamt] à 69% au 21 septembre 2026.
- Quand Germany after the AfD enters federal government: objective measures sera-t-il résolu ?
- Germany after the AfD enters federal government: objective measures doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2030.
- Comment Germany after the AfD enters federal government: objective measures est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : This market forecasts changes in Germany following the AfD’s entry into federal government.