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  • Accueil
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  1. Marchés de Prédiction
  2. US Politics
  3. First to lose power: Khomeini, Trump or Netanyahu?
Manifold Markets

First to lose power: Khomeini, Trump or Netanyahu?

One-OffUS PoliticsMiddle East13a
Manifold MarketsManifold MarketsSans KYC
Prévision communautaire actuelle
Manifold Markets
Mojtaba Khomeini 42.6%
En tête parmi 3 options
Prévisionnistes

135

Type de question

multiple choice

Méthodologie

Play-money forecasting platform

Type de source

Prévision

Données du marché

Mis à jour il y a 4 minutes

13 mars 26, 8:0913 mars 40, 8:02

Tendances

Résultat24hProbabilité

Résultat choisi

Mojtaba Khomeini43%

Règles

Which of these leaders in the conflict between US & Israel and Iran will be the first to lose power?

Manifold Markets
  • Any process or event by which they lose their position would count, e.g. democratic process, revolution, ill health, death.
  • In unclear or confusing circumstances I will make a judgement based on major international media reports and Wikipedia entries within one month of credible reports.

Marchés Associés

Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by...?

Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by...?

837,3 k €
June 30: 31%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?

Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?

304,4 k €
July 31: 54%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Manifold Markets

2026 FIFA World Cup ⚽ | 🏆 Winner

11,8 k €
Brazil: 7%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by June 30?

Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by June 30?

549,6 €
Oui: 2%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Manifold Markets

In which months will there be a day the US gas average is at $4 or below?

233,9 €
May 2026: 0%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Will Donald Trump visit Iran?

Will Donald Trump visit Iran?

202,6 €
Before Aug 1, 2026: 3%KalshiKALSHI

Actifs dans ces sujets

BitcoinBTC$62,601.90+2.24%EthereumETH$1,648.47+1.43%SolanaSOL$65.10+1.51%DogecoinDOGE$0.0849+1.63%XRPXRP$1.12+0.15%BNBBNB$594.96+1.59%

Actualités Associées

Bitcoin price tumbles after Trump orders military response to IranCrypto NewsFormer Epstein assistant Lesley Groff appears before House panel Crypto NewsTrump adviser Patrick Witt backs sweeping crypto tax billsCrypto NewsU.S. judge blocks Trump’s $100,000 H-1B visa fee after state challengeCrypto NewsTrump walks out of interview after clash over election fraud claims Crypto NewsCongress nears final vote on $70 billion immigration funding packageCrypto News

Règles

Which of these leaders in the conflict between US & Israel and Iran will be the first to lose power?

Manifold Markets
  • Any process or event by which they lose their position would count, e.g. democratic process, revolution, ill health, death.
  • In unclear or confusing circumstances I will make a judgement based on major international media reports and Wikipedia entries within one month of credible reports.