Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 56.1%
Prévisionnistes
6
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 5 heures
Obsolète12 déc. 25, 09:16 UTC31 déc. 32, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will low carbon vehicle sales (e.g. electric, hydrogen, PI hybrid) be more than 50% of all car sales in the USA by 2030?
Manifold MarketsWhich country will be the leading producer of green hydrogen in 2030?
Manifold MarketsIn which of the following years will the net rate of chemical conversion of hydrogen into hydrocarbons be positive?
Manifold MarketsWill hydrogen cars be more popular than electric cars in 2030 in the first world?
Manifold MarketsIEA asks France to release oil stocks by which date?
PolymarketNothing Ever Happens: October
PolymarketRègles
Resolves as YES if there is strong evidence that the total route-length of dedicated hydrogen pipelines that are operational in Europe exceeds 5,000 km at any point before January 1st 2033.
- Europe (for this market): Pipelines physically located within the territories of EU-27, the United Kingdom, Norway, Switzerland, Iceland, and Liechtenstein.
- Cross-border pipelines count only for the portion inside these territories.
- Dedicated hydrogen pipeline: A pipeline whose normal service is transporting gaseous hydrogen as the primary product (i.e., not a hydrogen–natural gas blend).
- Counts: Newly built hydrogen pipelines and repurposed natural-gas pipelines once they are converted and operating in hydrogen service.
- Does not count: Pipelines primarily carrying natural gas with hydrogen blending, or internal plant piping entirely within a single industrial site (e.g., behind the fence of one refinery/chemical plant).
