If Donald Trump becomes president again in 2024-2028, will he illegally remain commander-in-chief in 2031?
PolitiqueOne-OffPolitique américaineÉlectionGéopolitique2a
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 89.7%
Prévisionnistes
35
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 8 heures
Obsolète26 août 23, 17:27 UTC31 déc. 28, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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Manifold MarketsRègles
The commander-in-chief of the US Army is the president, and this is basically meant to be an objective measure of the US presidency that would work even if the legal/formal power works differently in the future.
- If I understand correctly, Donald Trump would mainly remain president if he overthrows the current democratic system in some way?
- I assume it might lead to some sort of fracturing, so I will specifically consider the largest fragment of the military.
- Resolution criteria
- As a big picture, in order for this market to resolve:
- Donald Trump must become president during 2024-2028, otherwise the market resolves N/A.
