If Donald Trump becomes president again in 2024-2028, will he illegally remain commander-in-chief in 2031?
PolitiqueOne-OffUS PoliticsÉlectionGéopolitique2aManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 89.7%
Prévisionnistes
35
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 12 heures
Obsolète26 août 23, 17:27 UTC31 déc. 28, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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KalshiRègles
The commander-in-chief of the US Army is the president, and this is basically meant to be an objective measure of the US presidency that would work even if the legal/formal power works differently in the future.
- If I understand correctly, Donald Trump would mainly remain president if he overthrows the current democratic system in some way?
- I assume it might lead to some sort of fracturing, so I will specifically consider the largest fragment of the military.
- Resolution criteria
- As a big picture, in order for this market to resolve:
- Donald Trump must become president during 2024-2028, otherwise the market resolves N/A.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour If Donald Trump becomes president again in 2024-2028, will he illegally remain commander-in-chief in 2031? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 90% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand If Donald Trump becomes president again in 2024-2028, will he illegally remain commander-in-chief in 2031? sera-t-il résolu ?
- If Donald Trump becomes president again in 2024-2028, will he illegally remain commander-in-chief in 2031? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2028.
- Comment If Donald Trump becomes president again in 2024-2028, will he illegally remain commander-in-chief in 2031? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : The commander-in-chief of the US Army is the president, and this is basically meant to be an objective measure of the US presidency that would work even if the legal/formal power works differently in the future.