Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Do Manifold users think that Model UN is dumb? (resolves end of 2026) ?

Manifold Markets cote No à 70.4% au 26 octobre 2026.

Do Manifold users think that Model UN is dumb? (resolves end of 2026)

Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibré

Prévision communautaire actuelle

Non 70.4%

Prévisionnistes

Type de question

binary

Méthodologie

Play-money forecasting platform

Type de source

Prévision

Données du marché

Mis à jour il y a 18 heures

Obsolète

28 juil. 26, 04:56 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC

Tendances

Résultat24hProbabilité

Règles

I will open a yes/no poll titled "Is Model UN is dumb?" when this market closes (end of 2026).

The poll will go on for 10 days and the market will resolve to the majority's vote.
For context, Model UN stands for Model United Nations:
It's mostly a high school activity
Basically a simulation of the real United Nations where students, called "delegates" are each assigned a country to represent (roleplay...)
For each conference, a group of "delegates" (there are often hundreds of delegates per group) are assigned a topic to adress