Democrats win at least one of Ohio/Iowa/Alaska Senate seats?
PolitiqueOne-OffPolitique américaineÉlectionÉlections de mi-mandat américaines 20262mois
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 67.1%
Prévisionnistes
13
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 16 heures
Obsolète6 janv. 26, 00:52 UTC1 janv. 27, 07:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Senate Combo: Ohio, Iowa, Maine
PolymarketHow many House seats will Democrats win in Ohio?
Manifold MarketsHow many House seats will the Democrats win in Ohio?
PolymarketWill Democrats win Ohio and lose Iowa in the 2026 US senate elections?
Manifold MarketsHow many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms?
KalshiHow many Senate seats will Republicans hold after the Midterms?
KalshiRègles
Part of Matt Yglesias' "Predictions for 2026" from his Slow Boring newsletter.
- Source: [Predictions for 2026](https://www.slowboring.com/i/181456375/predictions-for) Yglesias assigned 80% probability to this prediction.
- Original prediction: "Democrats win at least one of the Ohio/Iowa/Alaska Senate seats" Resolution: Will resolve based on Yglesias' own assessment in his January 2027 review post.
- If he doesn't publish one, market creator will resolve based on the outcome.