Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleAbove 56 12.8%-0.2ptEn tête parmi 14 options
Prévisionnistes
3
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
+5.7 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 12 heures
Obsolète29 oct. 26, 07:12 UTC1 févr. 29, 15:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Democratic Senate odds on November 1?
PolymarketDemocratic Senate odds on November 2?
PolymarketWhich Democratic senate candidates will lead in the Nate Silver polling average on election day?
Manifold MarketsPennsylvania Democratic Senate nominee? (2028)
KalshiDemocratic Senate odds on November 2?
Manifold MarketsIf this person is the Democratic Senate candidate for Maine, will they win the 2026 election?
Manifold MarketsRègles
Mirrors this Kalshi market: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxdsenateseats/democratic-senate-seats/kxdsenateseats-29
- Resolves according to Kalshi's final result, using Kalshi's rules for this market.
- Kalshi's rules: If the Democratic party has exactly 53 Senate seats on Feb 1, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.