Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle
Dess Holiday 60.6%En tête parmi 26 options
Prévisionnistes
65
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
+0.8 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 2 heures
Obsolète6 déc. 22, 02:34 UTC2 janv. 35, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
0.4%
0.3%
0.2%
0.2%
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Who will be revealed as The Roaring Knight in DELTARUNE?
Manifold MarketsWho is the Knight in Deltarune?
Manifold MarketsA Knight of the Seven Kingdoms Season 2: Release Date
KalshiWho will turn out to be the Angel? (Deltarune)
Manifold Markets"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
PolymarketHighest grossing movie in 2026?
PolymarketRègles
This resolves when Deltarune Chapter 7 releases, unless it comes out after Jan 1 2035, in which case it will resolve N/A.
- Update 2026-07-08 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The "the named outcome" option has been renamed for clarity to better cover all cases where the knight involves the named outcome (not just team-ups).
Marchés ouverts
EntertainmentPOLYMARKET"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
- 950 - 960m+8.5pt76.5%
- 940 - 950m-11.0pt18.6%
- 960 - 970m-0.1pt2%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 342,8 k €
- Volume 24h
- 91,2 k €
KALSHIPrimetime · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 5099%
- Above 5599%
- Above 60+2.0pt99%
+10 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 182,4 k €
- Volume 24h
- 90,8 k €
POLYMARKETNext James Bond actor?
- Jack Lowden+25.1pt47.2%
- No Bond chosen-3.1pt18.9%
- Jack Barton-1.4pt10.4%
+21 résultats de plus
KALSHINext James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond
- Jack Lowden+8.0pt46%
- Jack Barton-4.0pt21%
- Callum Turner-6.0pt18%
+27 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 1,8 M €
KALSHIRunner · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 45+15.0pt99%
- Above 50+39.0pt97%
- Above 55+42.0pt84%
+7 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 264,6 k €
KALSHIPractical Magic 2 · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 45-53.0pt14%
- Above 50-56.0pt8%
- Above 55-48.0pt2%
+14 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 84,3 k €
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Deltarune: Who is the knight? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Dess Holiday à 61% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Deltarune: Who is the knight? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Deltarune: Who is the knight? doit être résolu le 2 janvier 2035.
- Comment Deltarune: Who is the knight? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : This resolves when Deltarune Chapter 7 releases, unless it comes out after Jan 1 2035, in which case it will resolve N/A.