Covid Origins MegaMarket - lots of unlinked binary questions about the steps on the way, varying lengths
PolitiqueOne-OffSanté et médecineSciencePolitique américaineGéopolitiqueChineSportÉchecsEuropeIADivertissement2aManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleL: Elon Musk comes out for lab leak by mid 2025 100%En tête parmi 36 options
Prévisionnistes
14
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 2 heures
Obsolète25 déc. 23, 07:05 UTC1 janv. 29, 06:59 UTC
Tendances
Règles
Details of judgment
- All "wikipedia pages state X" claims require the change to still be present 30 days after initially made, and for edit wars to have settled.
- So in reality a change might be made, then reverted, then ignored, then after 29 days there's an edit war judgment that goes on for 6 months.
- I'm sorry for your mana but it's better to just wait.
- Truth will out
- Dates: "Mid X" means midnight, June 30, that year, California time.
