Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 87%
Prévisionnistes
21
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 9 heures
Obsolète21 janv. 24, 00:24 UTC1 janv. 50, 21:59 UTC
Tendances
Règles
Resolves YES if there is a comercially available mobile phone or a similiar device (say, a smart watch) in any country that has an effective nuclear powered battery by 2050.
- This would imply that the phone can fully run off of the battery and does not require charging during its lifespan.
- Replacing the battery would also qualify, say if it has a relatively short lifespan, but no less then 6 months.
- Market inspired by:
- (https://manifold.markets/embed/PavelZhivulin/will-betavolt-implement-nuclear-bat)
