Prévision communautaire actuelle
Oui 67.7%
Prévisionnistes
7
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 8 heures
Obsolète26 nov. 25, 03:39 UTC31 déc. 27, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will the US mass airlift chips from Taiwan if China implements a blockade?
Manifold Markets[Metaculus] Will China carry out a cyberattack on Taiwan’s electricity infrastructure before 2030?
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Manifold MarketsBest Chinese AI Company end of September?
PolymarketSecond-Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
PolymarketUS Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?
PolymarketRègles
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES if China has implemented 30 or more distinct infrastructure connectivity projects in Africa between Jan 1st 2025 and December 31, 2027. "Connectivity projects" include railways, highways, ports, bridges, telecommunications infrastructure, and similar transport/communication networks that directly link African regions or countries.
- Projects must be substantially completed or operational (not merely announced or under construction).
- Resolution will be verified through official Chinese government announcements, African government statements, or reports from established development finance tracking organizations such as the China-Africa Research Initiative (CARI) or the World Bank.
- If in doubt, the latest version of ChatGPT will be asked to opine on the outcome.
- In the past decade, Chinese enterprises have signed contracts surpassing $700 billion and delivered projects valued at over $400 billion in Africa.
Marchés ouverts
ChinaPOLYMARKETXi Jinping out before 2027?
- No+0.2pt96%
- Yes-0.2pt4%
- Volume total
- 11,3 M €
- Volume 24h
- 40,4 k €
POLYMARKETChina x Philippines military clash before 2027?
- No+0.5pt73.3%
- Yes-0.5pt26.7%
- Volume total
- 384,2 k €
- Volume 24h
- 28,4 k €
POLYMARKETValorant: Bilibili Gaming vs KeepBest Gaming (BO3) - China Evolution Series Act 3 Playoffs
- Handicap: KBG (-1.5) vs Bilibili Gaming (+1.5)+59.5pt100%
- 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5+49.5pt100%
- 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5+50.0pt100%
KALSHIChina vs Puerto Rico
- China+1.0pt78.4%
- Puerto Rico21.6%
- Volume total
- 25,4 k €
- Volume 24h
- 24,9 k €
POLYMARKETWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- No-0.2pt96%
- Yes+0.2pt4%
- Volume total
- 35,3 M €
- Volume 24h
- 22,3 k €
POLYMARKETWorlds 2026 Winning Region
- LCK (South Korea)+0.5pt66%
- LPL (China)25.2%
- LEC (Europe / EMEA)-0.1pt5.8%
+3 résultats de plus
- Will Xi Jinping visit US by which date?
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- Unsettled Resentment vs. TEC Esports
- Highest temperature in Beijing on September 10?
- China vs Puerto Rico: Spread
- Valorant: TEC Esports vs Unsettled Resentment (BO3) - China Evolution Series Act 3 Playoffs
- Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
- Puerto Rico vs. China
- Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- Top Chinese AI Company week of September 14th
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour China implements 30+ infrastructure connectivity projects in Africa by EOY 2027? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Yes à 68% au 9 septembre 2026.
- Quand China implements 30+ infrastructure connectivity projects in Africa by EOY 2027? sera-t-il résolu ?
- China implements 30+ infrastructure connectivity projects in Africa by EOY 2027? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2027.
- Comment China implements 30+ infrastructure connectivity projects in Africa by EOY 2027? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolution criteria