Prévision communautaire actuelle
Oui 67.7%
Prévisionnistes
7
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 48 minutes
En retard26 nov. 25, 03:39 UTC31 déc. 27, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will the US mass airlift chips from Taiwan if China implements a blockade?
Manifold MarketsDemocratic country implements digital curfew for minors before 2035?
Manifold Markets[don't bet yet, finalizing details] Will a Musk Company or Elon do large geoengineering projects for global warming?
Manifold Markets[Metaculus] Will China carry out a cyberattack on Taiwan’s electricity infrastructure before 2030?
Manifold MarketsAI bubble burst by which date?
PolymarketSecond-Best Chinese AI Company end of January?
PolymarketRègles
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES if China has implemented 30 or more distinct infrastructure connectivity projects in Africa between Jan 1st 2025 and December 31, 2027. "Connectivity projects" include railways, highways, ports, bridges, telecommunications infrastructure, and similar transport/communication networks that directly link African regions or countries.
- Projects must be substantially completed or operational (not merely announced or under construction).
- Resolution will be verified through official Chinese government announcements, African government statements, or reports from established development finance tracking organizations such as the China-Africa Research Initiative (CARI) or the World Bank.
- If in doubt, the latest version of ChatGPT will be asked to opine on the outcome.
- In the past decade, Chinese enterprises have signed contracts surpassing $700 billion and delivered projects valued at over $400 billion in Africa.
