Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréAlerte qualité des donnéesDonnées source dégradées
Données au 25 oct. 2026, 11:45 UTC · politique pm-quality-4
Prévision communautaire actuelleWarren Buffett at Berkshire Hathaway 100%En tête parmi 17 options
Prévisionnistes
55
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 12 heures
Obsolète9 juil. 25, 21:43 UTC31 déc. 26, 22:25 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
CEO Tontine - which three of these twenty CEOs will survive longest?
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KalshiWhich company has best AI model end of 2026?
PolymarketRègles
The first three CEOs to be out will be marked 100%, then everyone else will be marked 0%.
- Out means not CEO anymore.
- That includes the company being dissolved, bought, etc. If the company splits, to survive they must be leader of the largest part.
- If the company is bought they can only survive by being the CEO of the resulting company.
- If the company changes name, no issue as long as they're still CEO.