Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle
Boom Overture will not make a supersonic passenger-carrying flight 80%En tête parmi 18 options
Prévisionnistes
14
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
-9.9 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 14 heures
Obsolète5 févr. 25, 02:15 UTC1 janv. 41, 07:59 UTC
Tendances
Règles
Resolves based on the date of the first reported supersonic passenger-carrying flight of the Boom Overture aircraft.
- For a given year of resolution, all markets up to the year before will resolve "NO", then all markets for that year and later will resolve "yes".
- So for example, if the Overture makes its first passenger-carrying flight on 2030-06-01, then "the named outcome":"the named outcome" will resolve "NO", and "the named outcome":"the named outcome" will resolve "YES".
- If the flight was conducted at the end of one year but the press release made at the start of the next, I will resolve based on the datetime of the flight, not the press release.
- "Passenger-carrying" is a little vague, but I'll take this to be carrying non-engineering and non-pilot passengers who do not work for Boom, as on a maiden flight.
- They do not need to have paid for that ticket to be classified as "passengers".
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour By when will the Boom Overture make its first supersonic passenger-carrying flight? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Boom Overture will not make a supersonic passenger-carrying flight à 80% au 22 septembre 2026.
- Quand By when will the Boom Overture make its first supersonic passenger-carrying flight? sera-t-il résolu ?
- By when will the Boom Overture make its first supersonic passenger-carrying flight? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2041.
- Comment By when will the Boom Overture make its first supersonic passenger-carrying flight? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolves based on the date of the first reported supersonic passenger-carrying flight of the Boom Overture aircraft.