Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 98.4%
Prévisionnistes
20
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 15 heures
Obsolète6 avr. 26, 15:19 UTC30 déc. 26, 00:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Avengers: Doomsday be delayed?
KalshiWill Avengers: Doomsday be delayed?
PolymarketAvengers: Doomsday: Rotten Tomatoes score
KalshiWhich characters will appear in Avengers: Doomsday?
PolymarketWill Dune 3 or Avengers: Doomsday gross more on their opening weekend?
Polymarket[Add options] What references will be made in Avengers Doomsday?
Manifold MarketsRègles
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if Marvel Studios officially announces a delay to the theatrical release date of Avengers: Doomsday (currently scheduled for May 1, 2026), or if the film is released after May 1, 2026.
- The market resolves to NO if the film is released on or before May 1, 2026, and no official delay is announced prior to that date.
- Official sources include announcements from Marvel Studios, The Walt Disney Company, or reputable entertainment news outlets (e.g., Variety, The Hollywood Reporter, Deadline).
- Avengers: Doomsday was announced as the fifth Avengers film, with Robert Downey Jr. confirmed to return to the MCU as Victor von Doom.
- Given the complexities of blockbuster film production, release date shifts are common in the industry due to factors such as script development, visual effects backlogs, or broader studio strategy.
Marchés ouverts
EntertainmentKALSHIOscar Winner: Best Picture
- The Odyssey-2.0pt51%
- Dune: Part Three13%
- The Black Ball+1.0pt11%
+36 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 4,4 M €
- Volume 24h
- 63,1 k €
POLYMARKET# of views of MrBeast video on day 5?
- 72–73M+62.5pt100%
- <70M-1.6pt0%
- 70–71M-23.9pt0%
+4 résultats de plus
KALSHITop US Netflix Show this week?
- Death of the Pastor's Wife: Season 1+33.0pt44.9%
- Crew Girl: Season 134.8%
- NFL Melbourne Game: 49ers vs Rams9.3%
+9 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 61,7 k €
KALSHIPractical Magic 2 · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 27+6.0pt99%
- Above 25+3.0pt99%
- Above 32+28.0pt97%
+14 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 141,9 k €
KALSHIRunner · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 50+1.0pt97%
- Above 45-3.0pt96%
- Above 55-3.0pt90%
+7 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 314 k €
POLYMARKET"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
- 950 - 960m+10.5pt70.3%
- 940 - 950m-7.0pt26.7%
- 960 - 970m+0.6pt2%
+2 résultats de plus
- # of views of next MrBeast video on week 1?
- Top Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Sep 10, 2026
- Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?
- The Uprising · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Big Brother Season 28 · Winner
- Grand Theft Auto VI: Release date
- Oscar Winner: Best Actor
- Next James Bond actor?
- The Game Awards: 2026 Game of the Year
- Top US Netflix Movie this week?
- Primetime · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Runner-Up Daily Music Video USA on YouTube: Sep 10, 2026
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Avengers Doomsday to be delayed ?
- Manifold Markets cote Yes à 98% au 10 septembre 2026.
- Quand Avengers Doomsday to be delayed sera-t-il résolu ?
- Avengers Doomsday to be delayed doit être résolu le 30 décembre 2026.
- Comment Avengers Doomsday to be delayed est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolution criteria