Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 86.3%
Prévisionnistes
15
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 13 heures
Obsolète24 nov. 25, 07:43 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Candace Owens divorced by December 31, 2027?
PolymarketBrigitte Macron wins defamation suit against Candace Owens before 2028?
KalshiWill Candace Owens run for president before the end of 2032 as joked by Sam Harris?
Manifold MarketsWill Candace Owens ever become the President of the USA?
Manifold MarketsWill Candace Owens divorce George Farmer before the end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsNothing Ever Happens: 2026
PolymarketRègles
Candace Owen’s claimed on Twitter that French president, Emmanuel Macron, is plotting to have her murdered.
- The market resolves to Yes if at least one major news outlet (e.g., NYT, Washington Post, LA Times) reports that the incident was an independent attack on her.
- If any such report characterizes the incident as possibly staged or not clearly an independent attack, the market will not resolve to Yes.”