Manifold MarketsFerméSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréCe marché est fermé et en attente d'une résolution confirmée.
Données de résolution non vérifiées
Ce résultat est inféré ou n'est pas appuyé par des preuves de règlement de niveau fournisseur.
Prévision communautaire actuelle≥$0.8T 100%En tête parmi 9 options
Prévisionnistes
26
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 26 jours
Obsolète22 avr. 26, 3:491 juil. 26, 3:59
Chronologie des Probabilités
≥$0.8T95.5%
≥$0.9T90.9%
≥$1T3.1%
≥$1.1T2.1%
≥$1.25T2.3%
≥$1.5T1.9%
≥$1.75T1.5%
≥$2T4.5%
≥$2.5T2.7%
3.1%
2.1%
2.3%
1.9%
1.5%
1%
Ce marché est clôturé. Le trading fictif n'est disponible que sur les marchés ouverts.
Comparer les plateformes· ≥$0.8T
Classé par qualité du marché, puis liquidité et volume sur 24 h| Plateforme | Qualité | Probabilité | vs référence | Vol 24h | Liq | Fraîcheur | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketMeilleur global85% de correspondance · vérifié | Faible | 100% | — | 5,7 k € | 0 € | il y a 25 jours | Ouvrir → |
| Manifold MarketsCette page | — | 100% | — | — | — | il y a 26 jours |
Également disponible sur Polymarket
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by June 30?
Fermés
+9.9pt100%
+12.6pt100%
+66.5pt100%
+9 résultats de plus
18 • Faible qualitéSpread inconnuFaible liquidité
Volume total448,8 k €
Volume 24h5,7 k €
POLYMARKETRègles
Resolves each threshold based on the peak valuation for Anthropic credibly reported with an as-of date on or before 2026-06-30.
- Pre-IPO: valuation is set by primary funding rounds, tender offers, or IPO pricing.
- Secondary transactions between existing investors do not count — they reflect individual trades, not company-endorsed valuation events.
- Post-IPO: valuation = peak market cap between IPO and 2026-06-30 (highest closing share price × shares outstanding at that time).
- ≥$X resolves YES as soon as such a figure meets or exceeds $X; remaining thresholds resolve NO at close.
- Company announcements; SEC filings (S-1, 424B, 10-Q, 10-K); major financial press (The Information, Bloomberg, Reuters, WSJ).
Les probabilités peuvent varier en raison de structures de marché, frais et bassins de participants différents.
Marchés Associés
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MANIFOLD MARKETSSpaceX highest valuation by end of December 2026
175,7 €≥$1T: 100%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWhat kind of device will the Johnny Ive OpenAI collaboration first release? [Suggest options]
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MANIFOLD MARKETS
Anthropic IPO by __?
6,7 k €December 31,: 71%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
2,8 k €Before Sep 1, 2026: 5%
KALSHI
KALSHI
Which companies will officially announce an IPO this year?
1,9 k €OpenAI: 28%KALSHI
KALSHIActifs dans ces sujets
Actualités Associées
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Russia’s parliament passes crypto market law with $3,800 annual cap for retail investorsCoindeskRègles
Resolves each threshold based on the peak valuation for Anthropic credibly reported with an as-of date on or before 2026-06-30.
- Pre-IPO: valuation is set by primary funding rounds, tender offers, or IPO pricing.
- Secondary transactions between existing investors do not count — they reflect individual trades, not company-endorsed valuation events.
- Post-IPO: valuation = peak market cap between IPO and 2026-06-30 (highest closing share price × shares outstanding at that time).
- ≥$X resolves YES as soon as such a figure meets or exceeds $X; remaining thresholds resolve NO at close.
- Company announcements; SEC filings (S-1, 424B, 10-Q, 10-K); major financial press (The Information, Bloomberg, Reuters, WSJ).