Alcatraz holds ten federal inmates for one week before January 20, 2029?
One-OffUS PoliticsCrime & Justice2aManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 90.8%
Prévisionnistes
117
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 17 heures
Obsolète4 mai 25, 23:58 UTC19 janv. 29, 23:59 UTC
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Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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KalshiRègles
Trump said he wants to “reopen” Alcatraz as a federal prison.
- Must be one continuous week, ten inmates physically on the island, held at the same time (not sequentially.)
- "Inmates" = "people who the Trump Administration thinks should be detained in a prison," does not necessarily need to be people who have been convicted of a crime.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Alcatraz holds ten federal inmates for one week before January 20, 2029? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 91% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Alcatraz holds ten federal inmates for one week before January 20, 2029? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Alcatraz holds ten federal inmates for one week before January 20, 2029? doit être résolu le 19 janvier 2029.
- Comment Alcatraz holds ten federal inmates for one week before January 20, 2029? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Trump said he wants to “reopen” Alcatraz as a federal prison.