Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 99%
Prévisionnistes
45
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 51 minutes
En retard17 mai 25, 20:46 UTC31 déc. 26, 11:11 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will there be verified U.S. federal government actions intended to influence an Alberta independence referendum?
Manifold MarketsWill the Greenlandic Parliament pass a resolution by November 15 to schedule a national independence referendum?
Manifold MarketsScottish independence referendum called?
KalshiWill Greenland hold an independence referendum in 2026?
PredictItWill there be a Scottish independence referendum before 2027 if the Gender Recognition Reform (Scotland) Bill doesn't receive Royal Assent?
Manifold MarketsWill Wales announce an independence referendum?
KalshiRègles
This market will resolve to YES if, by December 31, 2026, the Canadian province of Alberta holds a referendum in which a majority of voters cast ballots in favour of Alberta's independence from Canada.
- If no such referendum occurs by the specified date, or if a province-wide referendum with at least 33% voter turnout is held prior to the date and declared defeated, the market will resolve to NO.
- The referendum does not have to be legally binding or ultimately result in succession.
- Many similar independence referendums around the world have had questionable legal binding basis.
