KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Non 98%
Qualité du marché
≤49 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Liquidité
6,1 k €
Liquidité moyenneAchat / Vente
2.1% / 7.2%
Écart
5.1 pt
Spread largeDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 24 minutes
1 mai 24, 12:002 janv. 27, 4:59
Tendances
Règles
If a new Scottish referendum sanctioned by the UK government has been announced before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:UK Government
Marchés ouverts
PoliticsKALSHIMassachusetts Democratic Senate nominee?
- Ed Markey+0.7pt100%
- Seth Moulton-0.6pt0%
- Ayanna Pressley0%
+1 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 3,4 M €
- Volume 24h
- 2 M €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez17.4%
- Jon Ossoff-1.0pt16.3%
- Gavin Newsom+1.0pt14.3%
+45 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 180,4 M €
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.3pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+0.2pt11%
- Jon Ossoff11%
+49 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva56%
- Flávio Bolsonaro-0.3pt39%
- Renan Santos+0.7pt3%
+16 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+20 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-0.2pt61%
- October 31+1.5pt39%
- September 30-1.0pt20%
+17 résultats de plus
- Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Next French Presidential Election
- Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- 2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Scottish independence referendum called in 2026? ?
- Kalshi cote No à 98% au 1 septembre 2026.
- Quand Scottish independence referendum called in 2026? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Scottish independence referendum called in 2026? doit être résolu le 2 janvier 2027.
- Comment Scottish independence referendum called in 2026? est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If a new Scottish referendum sanctioned by the UK government has been announced before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.