Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 90.8%
Prévisionnistes
15
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 4 heures
Obsolète3 janv. 26, 14:08 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Actifs Sensibles au Macro
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
Polymarket10Y US Treasury yield at year-end?
KalshiHow low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
PolymarketHow high will 30-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
PolymarketHow high will the 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
Futuur10 Year Treasury Yield at 4.5%+ on 12/31/2026?
Manifold MarketsRègles
Using the closing price on Dec 31st, 2026 reported by CNBC here: https://www.cnbc.com/quotes/US10Y
- If it is 3.5% or greater, this market resolves as YES
- Otherwise it resolves to NO
- [link preview]
Marchés ouverts
Bonds & TreasuriesKALSHIHow high will the 10Y US Treasury yield get by Sep 30, 2026?
- 4.86% or above99%
- 4.88% or above99%
- 4.91% or above99%
+18 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 25,1 k €
- Volume 24h
- 25 k €
KALSHIHow high will the 30Y US Treasury yield get by Sep 30, 2026?
- 5.31% or above99%
- 5.32% or above99%
- 5.34% or above99%
+17 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 16,1 k €
- Volume 24h
- 14,7 k €
POLYMARKETHow high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- 4.5%+11.2pt100%
- 4.6%+4.9pt100%
- 4.8%+7.9pt100%
+8 résultats de plus
KALSHI2Y US Treasury yield on Sep 11, 2026?
- 4.35% or above+21.0pt99%
- 4.37% or above99%
- 4.41% or above99%
+22 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 14,2 k €
- Volume 24h
POLYMARKETHow high will 10-year Treasury yield go in September?
- 4.82%+45.5pt100%
- 4.91%+64.0pt94%
- 4.94%+70.0pt93%
+6 résultats de plus
KALSHI5Y US Treasury yield on Sep 10, 2026?
- 4.69% or above99%
- 4.65% or above99%
- 4.71% or above99%
+22 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 8,5 k €
- Volume 24h
- 8,5 k €
- 30Y US Treasury yield on Sep 10, 2026?
- 10Y US Treasury yield on Sep 10, 2026?
- How low will the 30Y US Treasury yield get by Sep 30, 2026?
- 2Y US Treasury yield on Sep 10, 2026?
- 7Y US Treasury yield on Sep 10, 2026?
- 10Y US Treasury yield on Sep 11, 2026?
- 10Y US Treasury yield at year-end?
- How high will 30-year Treasury yield go in September?
- How high will 5-year Treasury yield go in September?
- How low will 10-year Treasury yield get in September?
- UST par yield curve (2Y) at end of Q3 2026
Cryptos liées
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour 10 Year Treasury Yield at 3.5%+ on 12/31/2026? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Yes à 91% au 10 septembre 2026.
- Quand 10 Year Treasury Yield at 3.5%+ on 12/31/2026? sera-t-il résolu ?
- 10 Year Treasury Yield at 3.5%+ on 12/31/2026? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2026.
- Comment 10 Year Treasury Yield at 3.5%+ on 12/31/2026? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Using the closing price on Dec 31st, 2026 reported by CNBC here: https://www.cnbc.com/quotes/US10Y