Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle
Non 71.5%
Prévisionnistes
4
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 5 heures
Obsolète1 août 26, 16:23 UTC2 nov. 26, 07:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
🔮🌊 Will America get MORE WOKE in 2026? 🏳️⚧️✨
Manifold MarketsWill there be a signifikant growth of greenlands population after Trump offers money to each inhabitant?
Manifold MarketsWill the record for largest cabbage be broken before 2027?
Manifold MarketsPoilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?
PolymarketWill Prince Andrew testify publicly before Congress in 2026?
PredictItWill Pauline Hanson wear a burqa again in 2026?
PolymarketRègles
This market resolves YES if the unweighted average of the "Pro-Woke" responses to the following 5 recurring polling questions in 2026 is at least 2.0 percentage points higher than the 2025 Composite Baseline (52.6%).
- If the 2026 average is < 54.6%, the market resolves NO.
- The "Woke Vibe" Index Criteria
- The index is composed of 5 specific metrics from Gallup and PRRI.
- Each metric measures a different facet of "woke" culture (Gender, Race, Corporate/Economic Values).
- The Trans Acceptance Rebound
