KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Before 2030 21%En tête parmi 4 options
Qualité du marché
≤49 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Liquidité
21,6 k €
Liquidité élevéeÉcart
2.9 pt
Spread modéréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 10 minutes
6 janv. 26, 15:00 UTC1 janv. 27, 15:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Xi Jinping visit US by which date?
PolymarketWill Xi Jinping visit the US in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Xi Jinping visit the United States?
LimitlessXi Jinping out before 2027?
PolymarketWho will Xi Jinping purge in 2026?
PolymarketWill Xi Jinping cease to be China's leader before the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsRègles
If Xi Jinping has physically travelled to and been present within the geographic boundaries of Taiwan before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:The Guardianlocal news outlets with verifiable mastheads in TaiwanXi Jinpingofficial government sources of Taiwanofficial representatives or offices of Xi JinpingThe New York Timesthe Associated PressReutersPoliticoSemaforThe InformationThe Washington PostThe Wall Street JournalCNNFox NewsMSNBCCNBC
- Physical presence within the geographic boundaries of the area is required.
- Flying over without landing, layovers during which the person remains in the airplane or airport, virtual or remote appearances, future visit plans, or (unless explicitly specified) presence in adjacent international waters or solely within embassy or consulate grounds do NOT constitute a visit.
- International airports are considered within the boundaries of their host jurisdiction.
- A visit that began before the specified time period and is ongoing as of its start does not count; however, if the person departs and re-enters the area during the time period, the re-entry constitutes a new visit and does count.
- If Xi Jinping has physically travelled to and been present within the geographic boundaries of Taiwan before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
Marchés ouverts
ChinaPOLYMARKETWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- No-0.1pt96%
- Yes+0.1pt4%
- Volume total
- 35,3 M €
- Volume 24h
- 100,1 k €
POLYMARKETXi Jinping out before 2027?
- No+0.2pt96%
- Yes-0.2pt4%
- Volume total
- 11,3 M €
- Volume 24h
- 38,7 k €
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Beijing on September 9?
- 26°C+18.0pt56.1%
- 27°C-3.0pt19.6%
- 25°C-3.5pt15.9%
+8 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETChina x Philippines military clash before 2027?
- No-0.5pt72.3%
- Yes+0.5pt27.7%
- Volume total
- 356,3 k €
- Volume 24h
- 13,5 k €
POLYMARKETWill Xi Jinping visit US by which date?
- October 31+1.6pt98%
- December 31+1.6pt97%
- September 3095%
+3 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETWill China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
- No+1.0pt89.1%
- Yes-1.0pt10.9%
- Volume total
- 2,7 M €
- Volume 24h
- 11 k €
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour When will Xi Jinping visit Taiwan? ?
- Kalshi cote Before 2030 à 21% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand When will Xi Jinping visit Taiwan? sera-t-il résolu ?
- When will Xi Jinping visit Taiwan? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2027.
- Comment When will Xi Jinping visit Taiwan? est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If Xi Jinping has physically travelled to and been present within the geographic boundaries of Taiwan before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.