KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
At least 48% 88%+9.0ptEn tête parmi 10 options
Qualité du marché
38 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
174,3 €
Liquidité
824,6 €
Faible liquiditéÉcart
7.0 pt
Spread largeDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 10 minutes
19 sept. 26, 00:00 UTC3 nov. 27, 14:00 UTC
Tendances
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Hidalgo County, Texas: James Talarico vote percent
KalshiPhiladelphia County, Pennsylvania: Josh Shapiro vote percent
KalshiDallas County, Texas: James Talarico vote percent
KalshiMiami-Dade County, Florida: Byron Donalds vote percent
KalshiDane County, Wisconsin: David Crowley vote percent
KalshiOakland County, Michigan: Abdul El-Sayed vote percent
KalshiRègles
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by David Jolly in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Hillsborough County, Florida is 48% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places.
- Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results.
- Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results.
- Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator.
- If multiple rounds of voting occur (e.g., ranked choice voting), the percentage is based on the specified round or the first round if not specified.
Marchés ouverts
PoliticsKALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17.7%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16.7%
- Gavin Newsom13.5%
+45 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 193,8 M €
- Volume 24h
- 710,8 k €
KALSHIWhat will Trump say this week?
- TDS / Trump Derangement Syndrome99%
- Barack Hussein Obama99%
- Cuba / Cuban99%
+34 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 1,2 M €
- Volume 24h
- 584,6 k €
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party+1.3pt91.1%
- Republican Party-0.7pt8.9%
- Volume total
- 29,6 M €
- Volume 24h
- 407,5 k €
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Democrats sweep+1.0pt60%
- D-House, R-Senate30%
- Republicans sweep-0.6pt9%
+1 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 14,9 M €
POLYMARKETWill the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- December 31-0.8pt3%
- April 300%
- June 300%
+3 résultats de plus
- Volume total
POLYMARKETFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by which date?
- December+0.5pt21%
- October+0.5pt13%
- September 30,-0.3pt4%
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Brazil Presidential Election
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Next French Presidential Election
- Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?
- Venezuela leader end of 2026?
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- 2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Hillsborough County, Florida: David Jolly vote percent ?
- Kalshi cote At least 48% à 88% au 21 septembre 2026.
- Quand Hillsborough County, Florida: David Jolly vote percent sera-t-il résolu ?
- Hillsborough County, Florida: David Jolly vote percent doit être résolu le 3 novembre 2027.
- Comment Hillsborough County, Florida: David Jolly vote percent est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by David Jolly in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Hillsborough County, Florida is 48% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.