Generic congressional ballot on Oct 21, 2026?
PolitiqueOne-OffPolitique américaineÉlectionÉlections de mi-mandat américaines 2026
KalshiFerméVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréCe marché s'est résolu: Above 8.2% (99%)
Résolu: 21 oct. 2026, 21:35
Résolution vérifiée par le fournisseur
CoinRithm dispose d'éléments du fournisseur pour le gagnant et l'heure de règlement de ce marché.
Alerte qualité des donnéesDonnées obsolètes
Données au 21 oct. 2026, 20:55 UTC · politique pm-quality-4
Chronologie des Probabilités
7.6%27%
Below 7.6%5%
7.7%9%
7.9%12%
7.8%3%
8.0%48%
Above 8.2%99%
8.2%1%
8.1%1%
Above 8.2%Gagné
8.1%Perdu
7.6%Perdu
Below 7.6%Perdu
7.7%Perdu
7.9%Perdu
7.8%Perdu
8.0%Perdu
8.2%Perdu
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Generic congressional ballot on election day 2026? (More buckets)
Manifold Markets2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
KalshiTexas Senate Election Winner
PolymarketOhio Governor winner?
KalshiHow many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms?
KalshiWhich party will win the House in 2026?
PolymarketRègles
If the VoteHub 2026 generic ballot margin (D − R, time-weighted) is above 8.2% at exactly 5:05 PM ET on Oct 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:VoteHub
Règles de chaque résultat
- Above 8.2%
- If the VoteHub 2026 generic ballot margin (D − R, time-weighted) is above 8.2% at exactly 5:05 PM ET on Oct 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 8.1%
- If the VoteHub 2026 generic ballot margin (D − R, time-weighted) is exactly 8.1% at exactly 5:05 PM ET on Oct 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 7.6%
- If the VoteHub 2026 generic ballot margin (D − R, time-weighted) is exactly 7.6% at exactly 5:05 PM ET on Oct 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Below 7.6%
- If the VoteHub 2026 generic ballot margin (D − R, time-weighted) is below 7.6% at exactly 5:05 PM ET on Oct 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 7.7%
- If the VoteHub 2026 generic ballot margin (D − R, time-weighted) is exactly 7.7% at exactly 5:05 PM ET on Oct 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 7.9%
- If the VoteHub 2026 generic ballot margin (D − R, time-weighted) is exactly 7.9% at exactly 5:05 PM ET on Oct 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 7.8%
- If the VoteHub 2026 generic ballot margin (D − R, time-weighted) is exactly 7.8% at exactly 5:05 PM ET on Oct 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 8.0%
- If the VoteHub 2026 generic ballot margin (D − R, time-weighted) is exactly 8.0% at exactly 5:05 PM ET on Oct 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 8.2%
- If the VoteHub 2026 generic ballot margin (D − R, time-weighted) is exactly 8.2% at exactly 5:05 PM ET on Oct 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.