KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Above -0.5% 98%En tête parmi 8 options
Qualité du marché
55 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
6,7 k €
Liquidité
10,2 k €
Liquidité moyenneÉcart
6.0 pt
Spread largeDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 5 minutes
14 sept. 26, 19:00 UTC18 sept. 26, 13:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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Manifold MarketsHow high will US gas prices get in 2026?
KalshiTexas ERCOT peak electricity demand on Sep 17, 2026
KalshiJobs numbers in Sep 2026?
KalshiRègles
If the MoM percent change in The Conference Board Leading Economic Index for the U.S. for August 2026 is above
Règlement via:The Conference Board
- -0.5%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The Leading Economic Index refers to The Conference Board Leading Economic Index® (“LEI”) for the United States.
- This market will resolve using the month-over-month percent change for August 2026 stated in the first Conference Board release that reports the August 2026 LEI.
- The market will use the percent change expressly reported by The Conference Board and will not independently calculate the change from index levels.
- Subsequent revisions will not affect settlement.
Comparaison des sources de prévision
2 plateformes cotent actuellement ce marché. La probabilité de référence pondérée par la liquidité de CoinRithm pour Above -0.5% est de 98%. Les cotations s'écartent d'environ 1 point de pourcentage entre les plateformes extrêmes.
Référence CoinRithm Above -0.5% 98% · 2 plateformes · 1 pt d’ecart entre venues
Marchés ouverts
Macro & EconomyKALSHI(Pyth Index.US30/USD) price on Sep 17, 2026 at 4pm EDT
- At least $50,97599%
- At least $51,05098%
- At least $51,12598%
+54 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 48,4 k €
- Volume 24h
- 48,3 k €
KALSHIHow high will the S&P get this year?
- 7,800 or above99%
- 8,000 or above-5.0pt45%
- 8,200 or above-4.4pt20%
+4 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 1,1 M €
KALSHI30-year mortgage rate this week
- Above 6.80%+3.0pt99%
- Above 6.78%+1.0pt99%
- Above 6.77%+2.0pt99%
+18 résultats de plus
- Volume total
KALSHIHow high will US gas prices get in 2026?
- Above $4.60+2.0pt73%
- Above $4.80+8.0pt64%
- Above $5.00+1.0pt41%
+10 résultats de plus
- Volume total
KALSHIS&P 500 Daily Up/Down
- Yes98%
- No2%
- Volume total
- 7,9 k €
- Volume 24h
- 7,9 k €
KALSHIBank of Canada decision in Oct 2026?
- Maintains rate+1.0pt60.2%
- Hike 25bps+3.0pt34.3%
- Hike >25bps+3.0pt3.7%
+2 résultats de plus
- Texas ERCOT peak electricity demand on Sep 17, 2026
- Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
- Will the S&P finish positive this year?
- Sweden rate decision in September
- Will Canva’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- What will the median home value in the LA Metro area be on September 30?
- How high will 30yr mortgage rate get this year?
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- Connecticut multifamily housing permits in 2026
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour US Leading Economic Index change in August ?
- Kalshi cote Above -0.5% à 98% au 17 septembre 2026.
- Quand US Leading Economic Index change in August sera-t-il résolu ?
- US Leading Economic Index change in August doit être résolu le 18 septembre 2026.
- Comment US Leading Economic Index change in August est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If the MoM percent change in The Conference Board Leading Economic Index for the U.S. for August 2026 is above
- Où US Leading Economic Index change in August est-il également listé ?
- La même question est également listée sur Limitless.