When will Trump raise tariffs on Canada?
Politique commercialeOne-OffPolitiquePolitique américaineÉlection2h
KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Before Jan 1, 2027 75%En tête parmi 4 options
Before Jan 1, 2027 75%Qualité du marché
30 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
31,7 €
Intérêt ouvert
3,8 k €
Intérêt ouvert moyenDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 9 minutes
21 sept. 26, 18:30 UTC1 oct. 26, 03:59 UTC
Tendances
Conditions de la plateforme
Source : Kalshi
Ces conditions sont indicatives ; les opérations simulées de CoinRithm suivent leurs propres règles.
- Clôture anticipée:
- Oui
- Délai de règlement:
- 30m (indicatif)
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
When will Canada raise tariffs on the US?
KalshiWill Trump raise tariffs on any G7 country to more than 50%?
Manifold MarketsWhen will Trump lower tariffs on Canada?
KalshiWill the United States impose additional tariffs on Canada by December 31, 2026?
ForecastExWill the Trump suspension of Tariffs on ground beef be fully implemented and last the announce 90 day time period
Manifold MarketsWill the U.S. lower its 50% tariffs on Canadian goods before November 2026?
Manifold MarketsRègles
If Donald Trump has taken any presidential action imposing a new tariff or increasing an existing tariff on imports from Canada, with a specified effective date, through a new policy decision officially announced by Donald Trump after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Any qualifying presidential action must be taken personally during the specified time period and explicitly address the topic in its operative provisions, title, or official White House summary. Actions must have legal or policy effect - ceremonial proclamations without policy impact do not qualify unless specifically included. Actions that only incidentally mention the topic, statements without formal action, actions by cabinet members, legislative proposals without executive action, and signing statements do not qualify. The action must be publicly announced or documented by a Source Agency before expiration. A specified future effective date qualifies. An agency-only notice, a threat or remark without formal presidential action, or the scheduled activation or expiry of a previously ordered measure does NOT count. Publication or documentation by a Source Agency of the qualifying action personally signed, issued, or promulgated by Trump constitutes its official announcement by Trump; no separate speech or social-media statement is required.
Règles de chaque résultat
- Before Jan 1, 2027
- If Donald Trump has taken any presidential action imposing a new tariff or increasing an existing tariff on imports from Canada, with a specified effective date, through a new policy decision officially announced by Donald Trump after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Dec 1, 2026
- If Donald Trump has taken any presidential action imposing a new tariff or increasing an existing tariff on imports from Canada, with a specified effective date, through a new policy decision officially announced by Donald Trump after Issuance and before Dec 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Nov 1, 2026
- If Donald Trump has taken any presidential action imposing a new tariff or increasing an existing tariff on imports from Canada, with a specified effective date, through a new policy decision officially announced by Donald Trump after Issuance and before Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Oct 1, 2026
- If Donald Trump has taken any presidential action imposing a new tariff or increasing an existing tariff on imports from Canada, with a specified effective date, through a new policy decision officially announced by Donald Trump after Issuance and before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
