Will the average minimum temperature in Texas (DFW & IAH) fall below 20°F for at least 2 days within a 4-day span?
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KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Before 2029 50%En tête parmi 3 optionsAjusté de la marge : les cotes brutes dépassaient 100 % au total et ont été normalisées.
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Mis à jour il y a 9 minutes
22 juil. 26, 20:45 UTC1 janv. 27, 15:00 UTC
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KalshiRègles
If any span of 4 consecutive calendar days after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027 contains at least 2 days where the Station Average at Dallas Fort Worth International Airport (DFW) and George Bush Intercontinental Airport, Houston (IAH) is below 20°F, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:National Weather Service
- A "Qualifying Day" is a calendar day after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027 for which the applicable Station Test is met.
- The Station Test is whether the Station Average for the calendar day is below 20.
- A calendar day is after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027 if the calendar date of that day, as used in the Source Agency's climatological records for the Reference Stations, falls after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027.
- The Qualifying Days within that span need not be consecutive, and Qualifying Days occurring outside that span do not affect the determination.
- The Station Average is calculated for any calendar day as the arithmetic mean of the Daily Minimum Temperatures for all Reference Stations for that calendar day, computed in degrees Fahrenheit and truncated to one decimal place.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will the average minimum temperature in Texas (DFW & IAH) fall below 20°F for at least 2 days within a 4-day span? ?
- Kalshi cote Before 2029 à 50% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will the average minimum temperature in Texas (DFW & IAH) fall below 20°F for at least 2 days within a 4-day span? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will the average minimum temperature in Texas (DFW & IAH) fall below 20°F for at least 2 days within a 4-day span? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2027.
- Comment Will the average minimum temperature in Texas (DFW & IAH) fall below 20°F for at least 2 days within a 4-day span? est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If any span of 4 consecutive calendar days after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027 contains at least 2 days where the Station Average at Dallas Fort Worth International Airport (DFW) and George Bush Intercontinental Airport, Houston (IAH) is below 20°F, then the market resolves to Yes.