FutuurVérifier la disponibilitéDonnées de résolution vérifiéesProbabilité implicite actuelle
Oui 81%
Oui 81%Qualité du marché
37 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
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Liquidité
2,5 k €
Liquidité moyenneTraders
5
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0
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Mis à jour il y a 1 minute
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Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Arctic sea ice minimum to decrease in 2027?
FutuurWill the Antarctic sea ice extent reach at least 25 million square kilometers at least once this century?
Manifold MarketsWhen will the Antarctic sea ice extent fall below 1 million square kilometers for the first time?
Manifold MarketsWhen will the Antarctic sea ice reach nearly zero before 2100?
Manifold Markets(M5000 subsidy) Will the Arctic sea ice fully melt before the year 2050?
Manifold MarketsWhere will it rain on Oct 24, 2026?
KalshiRègles
The Antarctic sea ice reaches its minimum each year between February and early March.
- According to the US National Snow and Ice Data Center (NSIDC), the average monthly Antarctic sea ice extent in February 2026 was 2.91 million square km.
- If data for February 2027 indicates that the monthly average extent for Antarctic sea ice levels was lower than 2.91 million square km, this market will resolve to "Yes".
- Source: https://nsidc.org/data/seaice_index/data-and-image-archive
