KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
600,000 or more 12%En tête parmi 6 options
Qualité du marché
45 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Liquidité
1,3 k €
Faible liquiditéÉcart
3.0 pt
Spread modéréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 13 minutes
1 janv. 26, 15:00 UTC1 janv. 27, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Ninja reach at least 10k Twitch subscribers this year?
KalshiDantes banned from Twitch this year?
KalshiWill my friend deid91 have success on Twitch by 2027?
Manifold MarketsHasan Piker banned from Twitch
Manifold MarketsWill Hasan be banned for more than 14 days from twitch by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhen will IShowSpeed reach 100 million Youtube subscribers?
KalshiRègles
If KaiCenat's peak number of active paid Twitch subscribers is at least 600000 at any time before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:TwitchTwitchTrackerThe New York Timesthe Associated PressBloomberg NewsReutersThe Washington PostThe Wall Street JournalTechCrunchThe VergeKotaku
- Active paid Twitch subscribers includes Tier 1 subscriptions (including Prime Gaming), Tier 2, and Tier 3 subscriptions, all counted as single subscriptions without weighting.
- Gift subscriptions that are currently active are included.
- Followers, expired subscriptions, channel points, bits, and viewers are NOT included.
- Only the primary Twitch channel specified at issuance is considered.
- If the channel is banned or deleted before the deadline, the contract resolves based on the last verifiable peak achieved.
Marchés ouverts
Entertainment
POLYMARKET"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
- 950 - 960m+42.0pt76%
- 940 - 950m-42.0pt19.2%
- 960 - 970m+0.2pt1.9%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 296,8 k €
- Volume 24h
- 88,6 k €
KALSHINext James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond
- Jack Lowden+32.0pt61%
- Jack Barton-2.0pt19%
- Callum Turner-11.0pt16%
+27 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 1,8 M €
POLYMARKETNext James Bond actor?
- Jack Lowden+13.1pt32%
- No Bond chosen-7.6pt16%
- Jack Barton+0.9pt14%
+21 résultats de plus
KALSHIBig Brother Season 28 · Winner
- Yash Patel+4.0pt28.4%
- Barrett Pfeiffer+2.0pt18.4%
- Drew Campbell-1.0pt12.8%
+14 résultats de plus
- Volume total
POLYMARKET# of views of next MrBeast video on week 1?
- 70-80M+8.7pt63.6%
- 80-90M-2.0pt34.3%
- 60-70M-4.0pt1%
+4 résultats de plus
KALSHIOscar Winner: Best Picture
- The Odyssey52%
- Dune: Part Three13%
- The Black Ball11%
+35 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 4,2 M €
- Volume 24h
- 28,1 k €
- Primetime · Rotten Tomatoes score
- # of views of MrBeast video on day 3?
- Grand Theft Auto VI: Release date
- Oscar nominees: Best Picture
- Taylor Swift: Highest daily view count (September 7, 2026 - September 13, 2026)
- Emmy Winner: Outstanding Lead Actor in a Drama Series
- Post Malone: Highest daily view count (August 31, 2026 - September 6, 2026)
- Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?
- Emmy Winner: Outstanding Comedy Series
- Morgan Wallen: Highest daily view count (August 31, 2026 - September 6, 2026)
- Which streaming service will win the most Emmys?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour How many Twitch subscribers will KaiCenat reach this year? ?
- Kalshi cote 600,000 or more à 12% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand How many Twitch subscribers will KaiCenat reach this year? sera-t-il résolu ?
- How many Twitch subscribers will KaiCenat reach this year? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2027.
- Comment How many Twitch subscribers will KaiCenat reach this year? est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If KaiCenat's peak number of active paid Twitch subscribers is at least 600000 at any time before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.