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  1. Marchés de Prédiction
  2. Business & Corporate
  3. Who will be the world's first trillionaire?
Who will be the world's first trillionaire?

Who will be the world's first trillionaire?

1.0% (24h)YearlyBusiness & CorporateMacro & Economy3a
KalshiKalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de frais
Probabilité implicite actuelle
Elon Musk
Elon Musk 95%-1.0%
En tête parmi 11 options
Qualite du marche

49 / 100

Faible qualité
Volume 24h

44,4 €

Liquidité

1,5 k €

Faible liquidité
Achat / Vente

95.0% / 97.0%

Spread

2.1%

Spread serré
Données du marché

Mis à jour il y a 3 minutes

19 nov. 24, 15:001 janv. 30, 15:00

Tendances

Résultat24hProbabilité

Résultat choisi

Elon Musk95%

Règles

If Elon Musk is the world's first trillionaire before Jan 1, 2030 then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • If Larry Ellison is the world's first trillionaire before Jan 1, 2030 then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If Mark Zuckerberg is the world's first trillionaire before Jan 1, 2030 then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If Jeff Bezos is the world's first trillionaire before Jan 1, 2030 then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If Bernard Arnault & family is the world's first trillionaire before Jan 1, 2030 then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If Warren Buffett is the world's first trillionaire before Jan 1, 2030 then the market resolves to Yes.

Marchés Associés

Manifold Markets

Who will be the first trillionaire?

4,5 k €
Elon Musk: 97.4%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
How rich will Elon Musk get before 2027?

How rich will Elon Musk get before 2027?

539 €
More than $1 trillion: 92%KalshiKALSHI
Manifold Markets

Will Elon Musk be worth $2.0t or more before 2028?

470,5 €
Oui: 30.1%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Manifold Markets

Which companies will be in the Top 10 worldwide by market cap at the end of 2026?

400,9 €
Apple: 97%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Who will acquire Pinterest this year?

Who will acquire Pinterest this year?

5,2 €
Amazon: 6%KalshiKALSHI
Which companies will be acquired this year?

Which companies will be acquired this year?

2 €
Universal Music Group: 15%KalshiKALSHI

Actifs dans ces sujets

BitcoinBTC$62,682.54+2.38%EthereumETH$1,651.16+1.73%SolanaSOL$65.16+1.80%HyperliquidHYPE$55.26+0.10%XRPXRP$1.12+0.49%DogecoinDOGE$0.0851+1.95%

Actualités Associées

Wall Street abandons rate-cut hopes ahead of Kevin Warsh’s first FOMCCrypto NewsBitcoin may act as a ‘canary in the coal mine’ as risk-off pressure spreads: BitwiseCointelegraphJPMorgan plans longer-running AI agents for corporate workflows Crypto NewsA16z, Paradigm lead $175 million bet to move global credit markets onchainCoindeskMorpho raises $175M at $2B valuation for institutional DeFi pushCrypto NewsCan the Bank of Japan’s 1% rate hike spark another crypto selloff?Crypto News

Règles

If Elon Musk is the world's first trillionaire before Jan 1, 2030 then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • If Larry Ellison is the world's first trillionaire before Jan 1, 2030 then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If Mark Zuckerberg is the world's first trillionaire before Jan 1, 2030 then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If Jeff Bezos is the world's first trillionaire before Jan 1, 2030 then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If Bernard Arnault & family is the world's first trillionaire before Jan 1, 2030 then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If Warren Buffett is the world's first trillionaire before Jan 1, 2030 then the market resolves to Yes.