Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 74.8%
Prévisionnistes
32
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 2 heures
Obsolète22 mai 26, 05:57 UTC31 déc. 27, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Elon Musk be worth $2.0t or more before 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill Elon Musk be worth more than $5 Trillion by Jan 1st, 2033?
Manifold MarketsWill Elon Musk be worth more than $2 Trillion before Jan 1st, 2030?
Manifold MarketsElon Musk Net Worth on September 30?
PolymarketElon Musk net worth on December 31, 2026
KalshiElon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?
PolymarketRègles
Resolves yes if Bloomberg or Forbes show Elon Musk has a net worth of $2t or more on their rich lists before 11.59pm December 31 2027 EST.
- One or both of them showing Elon Musk is worth $2t+ will resolve this market to yes.
Marchés ouverts
Business & CorporatePOLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+5.5pt96%
- $25M+8.5pt94%
- $50M+13.0pt87%
+4 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 351,4 k €
- Volume 24h
- 351,4 k €
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 7 - September 9, 2026?
- 40-64+6.0pt52%
- 65-89+24.5pt45.1%
- 90-114-2.5pt2.9%
+7 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETLargest Company end of December 2026?
- NVIDIA+1.0pt78.4%
- Apple+0.6pt13.7%
- Alphabet6.9%
+5 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 8 - September 15, 2026?
- 180-199-1.0pt18.2%
- 200-21918.2%
- 160-179+1.0pt14.1%
+23 résultats de plus
KALSHIWashington aerospace manufacturing employment average in 2026
- Above 80,000 jobs98%
- Above 81,000 jobs95%
- Above 82,000 jobs+3.0pt92%
+10 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 183,7 k €
POLYMARKETLargest Company end of September?
- NVIDIA+0.3pt98%
- Apple-0.3pt2%
- Alphabet0%
+6 résultats de plus
- Boeing commercial airplane deliveries in 2026
- Illinois nuclear electricity generation in 2026
- California FAIR Plan policies in force on September 30, 2026
- Elon Musk # of tweets in September 2026?
- 3rd Largest Company end of September?
- Variational FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- Predict.fun FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- First to hit $1B FDV: ANSEM, CASHCAT, AI, or NET?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Elon Musk be worth $2.0t or more before 2028? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 75% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Elon Musk be worth $2.0t or more before 2028? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Elon Musk be worth $2.0t or more before 2028? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2027.
- Comment Will Elon Musk be worth $2.0t or more before 2028? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolves yes if Bloomberg or Forbes show Elon Musk has a net worth of $2t or more on their rich lists before 11.59pm December 31 2027 EST.